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Live aggregation of Germany's most reliable pollsters. Track monthly averages, pollster methodology, and historical pivots around national elections. Learn more about Pollster.

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Polling averages in Germany

Dots represent individual polls; lines show monthly means.

Note: due to rounding, adding up individual poll data does not always add up to 100.Last update: Oct 2025

Political timeline

Key political milestones in Germany

End of World War II

8th May of 1945

Germany surrendered unconditionally to the Allied forces, marking the end of World War II in Europe and the beginning of Allied occupation.

Allied Occupation and Division

1945-1949

Germany was divided into four occupation zones controlled by the United States, United Kingdom, France in the West, and the Soviet Union in the East, setting the stage for political separation.

Berlin Blockade and Airlift

1948

The Soviet Union blockaded West Berlin, leading the Western Allies under US General Clay to organize the Berlin Airlift to supply the city, a defining moment of the Cold War, and a demonstration of American support for the citizens of Berlin.

Formal separation into East and West Germany

1949

The Federal Republic of Germany (West Germany) was founded in May, followed by the establishment of the German Democratic Republic (East Germany) in October.

West Germany Joins NATO

1955

West Germany became a member of NATO, integrating into the Western defense alliance amid Cold War rivalry.

East Germany Joins the Warsaw Pact

1955

In response to West Germany joining NATO, East Germany became part of the Soviet-led Warsaw Pact military alliance.

Construction of the Berlin Wall

1961

East Germany, with Soviet support, erected the Berlin Wall to stop mass emigration to the West, symbolizing the division of Europe.

Wirtshaftswunder

1948-1973

West Germany experienced rapid economic growth and industrial recovery, rebuilding the country after Second World War's devastation into one of the world’s leading economies.

Ostpolitik under Willy Brandt

1969-1974

Chancellor Willy Brandt pursued a policy of détente and normalization with Eastern Europe and East Germany, earning him the Nobel Peace Prize in 1971.

German Autumn

1977

A series of terrorist attacks by the Red Army Faction (RAF) shook West Germany, leading to increased security measures and political unity against extremism.

Gorbachev’s Reforms Influence East Germany

1985

Mikhail Gorbachev’s policies of Glasnost and Perestroika in the Soviet Union inspired reform movements across Eastern Europe, including East Germany.

Fall of the Berlin Wall

9th November of 1989

Mass protests in East Germany led to the unexpected opening of the Berlin Wall, symbolizing the collapse of communist rule and the end of the Cold War division.

German Reunification

3rd October of 1990

East and West Germany officially reunited under the leadership of Chancellor Helmuth Kohl, to form a single sovereign nation, the Federal Republic of Germany, with Berlin as the capital.

Gerhard Schröder Becomes Chancellor

1998

Social Democrat Gerhard Schröder formed a coalition with the Greens, introducing economic and social reforms that modernized Germany’s welfare system.

Euro Replaces the Deutsche Mark

2002

Germany adopted the Euro as its official currency, becoming a key player in shaping the European Union’s economic policies.

Angela Merkel Becomes Chancellor

2005

Angela Merkel became Germany’s first female Chancellor, leading the country for 16 years and steering it through multiple global crises.

Global Financial Crisis

2008-2009

Germany played a crucial role in the European response to the global financial crisis, becoming the leading voice for austerity within the EU.

European Migrant Crisis

2015

Germany opened its borders to hundreds of thousands of refugees, sparking both praise and controversy domestically and across the EU.

Merkel Steps Down, Scholz Becomes Chancellor

2021

After 16 years in office, Angela Merkel stepped down and Olaf Scholz of the Social Democrats (SPD) became Chancellor, forming a coalition with the Greens and Free Democrats.

Friedrich Merz becomes Chancellor

2025

Following the fall of the Ampelkoalition, Chancellor Scholz lost the vote of confidance. The CDU/CSU's Friedrich Merz became the new Chancellor of Germany, the first Chancellor in modern times not be approved in the first round of the Bundestag vote, after forming a coalition with the SPD.

Parties in Germany

Germany goes to polls in the Spring of 2029. Showing the most recent averages (2025 Oct).

11 parties since beginning of dataset
CDU/CSU emblem

CDU/CSU

Top 1
27.0%
AfD emblem

AfD

Top 2
26.0%
SPD emblem

SPD

Top 3
14.0%

Polling dataset

557 surveys
PollsterFieldedSampleTop parties
15 Oct 20251,880
CDU/CSU: 27.0%AfD: 26.0%SPD: 14.0%
17 Sept 20251,649
AfD: 27.0%CDU/CSU: 26.0%SPD: 15.0%
20 Aug 20251,831
CDU/CSU: 27.0%AfD: 25.0%SPD: 14.0%
16 Jul 20251,820
CDU/CSU: 27.0%AfD: 25.0%SPD: 14.0%
18 Jun 20251,912
CDU/CSU: 28.0%AfD: 23.0%SPD: 14.0%
14 May 20251,927
CDU/CSU: 27.0%AfD: 25.0%SPD: 15.0%
30 Apr 20251,987
CDU/CSU: 26.0%AfD: 26.0%SPD: 14.0%
26 Mar 20251,890
CDU/CSU: 26.0%AfD: 24.0%SPD: 15.0%